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Maximizing returns under capped risks: An optimization framework for options trading

dc.contributor.authorUstundag, Alp
dc.contributor.authorSami Sivri, Mahmut
dc.contributor.authorAri, Emre
dc.contributor.ituauthorÜstündağ, Alp
dc.contributor.ituauthorArı, Emre
dc.date.accessioned2026-01-22T15:56:00Z
dc.date.issued2025-05-01
dc.description.abstractPrecise risk management is crucial in options trading, especially in strategies with limited risk and capped profit potential. The Short Iron Condor is a widely adopted strategy due to its structured risk-reward profile. It provides traders with controlled exposure in low-volatility markets while maintaining defined profit and loss parameters. This paper deals with developing an optimization framework using a mixed-integer programming model to evaluate key factors influencing return efficiency, including maximum loss limits, price confidence intervals, and holding periods. Using 2023 options data for 14 U.S. equities and 9 ETFs, filtered and selected using Out of the Money Strategy (OTM), 324 option contracts from as many snapshots as possible, the study analyzes 324 trading scenarios with maturities ranging from 5 to 20 days. Results indicate that increasing the maximum loss limit raises total return but reduces return efficiency. A $100 loss limit generates an average return of $30 with a 40.7% return on investment, while a $900 limit increases returns to $131 but lowers return on investment to 18.8%. These findings demonstrate that higher risk exposure does not always enhance return efficiency in capped-risk strategies. The proposed framework provides actionable insights for traders aiming to refine strategy selection within well-defined risk constraints. Risk managers can utilize these findings to sustain stable investment portfolios, while algorithmic trading systems may integrate this optimization model for automated strategy refinements and real-time adjustments. This study enhances decision-making in options trading, portfolio risk management, and financial strategy development.
dc.description.urihttps://doi.org/10.21511/imfi.22(2).2025.17
dc.identifier.doi10.21511/imfi.22(2).2025.17
dc.identifier.eissn1812-9358
dc.identifier.endpage217
dc.identifier.issn1810-4967
dc.identifier.openairedoi_________::0bde21f1628a9aac768d49a4d42c8d3c
dc.identifier.orcid0000-0003-2151-4759
dc.identifier.orcid0000-0002-9391-1801
dc.identifier.orcid0000-0003-2995-0176
dc.identifier.startpage206
dc.identifier.urihttps://hdl.handle.net/11527/28752
dc.identifier.volume22
dc.publisherLLC CPC Business Perspectives
dc.relation.ispartofInvestment Management and Financial Innovations
dc.rightsOPEN
dc.titleMaximizing returns under capped risks: An optimization framework for options trading
dc.typeArticle
dspace.entity.typePublication
person.identifier.orcid0000-0003-2151-4759

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