Turkish Water Foundation Climate Change Downscaling Model Principles

Abstract

Even though the atmosphere is modeled analytically, solutions are valid only if they are in good agreement with the necessary ground data within certain error bands. Available models provide basic information on the average behavior of the phenomenon concerned based on a set of simplifying assumptions. However, the natural phenomena temporal or spatial behavior shows unexpected deviations from the average. A set of assumptions such as the homogeneity, isotropy, uniformity, first order approximation, and alike cannot be valid at fine resolutions. In practice, simple but effective methods help to facilitate forecasting.