A Method For Determination of Accident Probability in Construction Industry

Abstract

Safety issues for construction industry have been considered in almost every country. In this paper, an objective and quantitative accident probability calculation approach is proposed using actual construction work accidents in between 2000-2013. Probabilities were calculated by using Poisson distribution where accident rates and exposure values were used as distribution parameters. In an industry where the accidents are recorded in non-specific standards, it is very difficult to represent probability of accidents with a known distribution model. Thanks to the approach presented in this paper it was possible to provide an objective method to obtain accident probabilities using the Poisson distribution.